Global geoeconomic transformations and Eurasia: risks and objectives for Russia
Abstract
The regionalization of the of the world economy is developing by more moderate pace that it was perceived and that in part is related to the counteraction from the forces that are interested to the classic postgeographical model of globalization and unlimited networkization of the global politics and economy, At the same time the regionalization is less and less developing through the pattern of purely economic transformations. The regionalization actively includes political and military instruments into its inventory. A number of countries that strive for enforcement of their political and economic influence through the regionalized model of the geoeconomics development actively use the methods of hybrid wars in their politics. And that is a model for transformation of large and important from the geoeconomics point of view areas under the condition of preservation of high level of interdependence in key sectors of economies and technologies. Around the periphery of the Eurasian continent and in some cases in the direct proximity of the territory of Russia new centers of economic growth are being formed that in the nearby future can institutionalize themselves into full-scale political and economic systems that are formed around a robust military-political nucleus. Their influence will have impact not only in the outer perimeter of the Russia’s borders but also upon the domestic socio-economic developments. That puts into the agenda the necessity to elaborate an integrated policy that could simultaneously provide for internal development under the stable conditions as well as conflicting issues settlement outside the borders. That makes impossible to fully divide internal and external risks that are result of the microregion development in the neighboring Eurasia areas. Such an approach demands an integrated politics that includes not only political, military political and infrastructural aspects but also social, socio-cultural aspects. That also demands balancing relations between Center and regions of Russia.
References
1. Baldwin R. Great Convergence. Information technology and new globalization. – M: Delo Publishing House, RANEPA, 2018. – 416 p.
2. Evstafiev D.G. Information manipulations and state sovereignty: risks for Russia // Citizen. Elections. Power. – 2019. – Рр. 98–110.
3. Evstafiev D.G., Ilnitskiy A.M. Priorities of national security and defense management in the post-global world // Military Thought. – 2021. – № 3. – Рр. 6–24.
4. Castells M. Power of communication: a tutorial. – M.: Publishing House of the Higher School of Economics, 2016. – 564 p.
5. Kokoshin A.A., Panov A.N. Macrostructural changes in the system of world politics until 2030. – M.: KRASANDN, 2016. – 336 p.
6. Konyshev V., Parfenov R. Hybrid wars: between myth and reality // World economy and international relations. – 2019. – T. 63. – № 12. – Рp. 56–66.
7. Krastev I., Holmes S. Light that deceived hopes. Why the West is losing the fight for democracy. – Alpina Publisher, 2020. – 354 p.
8. Spence M. The next convergence. – M.: Gaidar Institute Publishing House, 2013. – 336 p.
9. Stiglitz J. The Great Divide or What to Do for the Remaining 99 % of the Population. – M.: EKSMO, 2016. – 480 p.
10. Frakopan P. Silk Road. The road of textiles, slaves, ideas and religions. – M.: Eksmo, 2019. – 804 p.
11. Anderson E., Obeng S. Globalization and government spending: Evidence for the ‘hyper globalization’ of the 1990s and 2000s // The World Economy. – Vol. 44. – Is. 5, May 2021. – Рp. 1144–1176. – URL: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/twec.13035.
12. Curran D. Risk, innovation, and democracy in the digital economy // European Journal of Social Theory. – 2017. – Vol. 21. Is. 2. – Рp. 207–226. – URL: https://doi.org/10.1177/1368431017710907.
13. Dadabaev T. “Silk Road” as foreign policy discourse: The construction of Chinese, Japanese and Korean engagement strategies in Central Asia // Journal of Eurasian Studies. – 2018. – Vol. 9. – Рp. 30–41. – URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1016/j.euras.2017.12.003.
14. Drouhot L.G. Cracks in the Melting Pot? Religiosity and Assimilation among the Diverse Muslim Population in France // American Journal of Sociology. – 2021. – Vol. 126. – № 4, January 2021. – URL: https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/712804#.
15. Eylemer S., Söylemez N. Policy Versus Praxis: Has the European Union Failed to Respond to the Refugee Crisis? // World Affairs. – 2020. – Vol. 183. – Is. 4. – Рp. 315–342. – URL: https://doi.org/10.1177/0043820020966832.
16. Friedman T. The World is Flat. A Brief History of Twenty First Century. – NY: Farrar, Straus and Giraux, 2005. – 488 p.
17. Gould-Davies N. Belarus and Russian Policy: Patterns of the Past, Dilemmas of the Present // Survival. December 2020 – January 2021. – Рp. 179–198. – URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/00396338.2020.1851099.
18. Grech-Madin C. Water and Warfare: The Evolution and Operation of the Water Taboo // International Security. – 2021. – № 45 (4). – Рp. 84–125. – URL: https://direct.mit.edu/isec/article/45/4/84/100568/Water-and-Warfare-The-Evolution-and-Operation-of/ doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00404.
19. Huntington S.P. The Clash of the Civilizations and the Remaking of the World Order. – New York: Simon&Shuster, 1996. – 368 p.
20. Itzkowitz Shifrinson J.R. Partnership or Predation? How Rising States Contend with Declining Great Powers // International Security. – 2020. – № 45 (1), July. – Рp. 90–126. – URL: https://direct.mit.edu/isec/article/45/1/90/95255/Partnership-or-Predation-How-Rising-States-Contend. doi: 10.1162/isec_a_00384.
21. Kaplan Robert D. The Afterlife of Empire // The National Interest. – 2020, October 16. – URL: https://nationalinterest.org/feature/afterlife-empire-170803.
22. Noël P. Nord Stream II and Europe’s Strategic Autonomy // Survival. – 2019. – № 61(6). – Рp. 89–95.
23. Nye J.Jr. How Sharp Power Threatens Soft Power. The Right and Wrong Ways to Respond to Authoritarian Influence // Foreign Affairs. – 2018, January 24. – URL: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2018-01-24/how-sharp-power-threatens-soft-power.
24. Rezvani B. Russian foreign policy and geopolitics in the Post-Soviet space and the Middle East: Tajikistan, Georgia, Ukraine and Syria // Middle Eastern Studies. – 2020. – № 56: 6. – Рp. 878–899. – URL: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00263206.2020.1775590?src=recsys.
25. Robert D. Kaplan. The Afterlife of Empire // The National Interest. – 2020, October 16. – URL: https://nationalinterest.org/feature/afterlife-empire-170803.
26. Shambaugh D. The Southeast Asian Crucible. What the Region Reveals About the Future of U.S.-Chinese Competition // Foreign Affais. – 2020, December 17. – URL: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/asia/2020-12-17/southeast-asian-crucible.
27. Schwab K., Malleret Th. COVID-19: The Great Reset. – FORUM PUBLISHING, 2020. – 280 p.
28. Message from the President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin to the Federal Assembly. April 21, 2021. – URL: http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/page/4.
Review
For citations:
Evstafiev D.G. Global geoeconomic transformations and Eurasia: risks and objectives for Russia. Kazan economic vestnik. 2021;(2):33-44. (In Russ.)
Views:
29
Email this article 